Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.016571 0.019288 0.022289 0.025846 0.029946 0.034519 0.040004
2025-12-14 0.011912 0.015255 0.019292 0.024514 0.031080 0.039051 0.049451
2025-12-21 0.009203 0.012804 0.017499 0.024044 0.032909 0.044467 0.060653
2025-12-28 0.007856 0.011750 0.017176 0.025248 0.036900 0.053051 0.077070
2026-01-04 0.006684 0.010668 0.016563 0.025854 0.040046 0.060810 0.093367
2026-01-11 0.005470 0.009272 0.015218 0.025100 0.040998 0.065428 0.105615
2026-01-18 0.004631 0.008296 0.014323 0.024836 0.042563 0.071041 0.119956
2026-01-25 0.003892 0.007342 0.013293 0.024153 0.043286 0.075314 0.132569
2026-02-01 0.003325 0.006587 0.012467 0.023661 0.044201 0.079922 0.146182
2026-02-08 0.002890 0.005994 0.011829 0.023385 0.045412 0.085105 0.161300
2026-02-15 0.002485 0.005388 0.011067 0.022753 0.045851 0.088911 0.174313
2026-02-22 0.002311 0.005217 0.011113 0.023669 0.049315 0.098604 0.199265
2026-03-01 0.002054 0.004837 0.010700 0.023637 0.050974 0.105188 0.219291
2026-03-08 0.001765 0.004334 0.009958 0.022818 0.050928 0.108447 0.233182
2026-03-15 0.001563 0.003997 0.009519 0.022582 0.052064 0.114195 0.252777
2026-03-22 0.001492 0.003956 0.009734 0.023824 0.056553 0.127376 0.289381
2026-03-29 0.001385 0.003811 0.009685 0.024452 0.059749 0.138154 0.322028
2026-04-05 0.001214 0.003468 0.009116 0.023765 0.059829 0.142128 0.340140
2026-04-12 0.001089 0.003225 0.008754 0.023529 0.060933 0.148502 0.364352
2026-04-19 0.000960 0.002948 0.008260 0.022888 0.060966 0.152402 0.383258
2026-04-26 0.000854 0.002718 0.007858 0.022423 0.061373 0.157213 0.404836
2026-05-03 0.000770 0.002535 0.007550 0.022163 0.062263 0.163272 0.430075
2026-05-10 0.000683 0.002326 0.007140 0.021563 0.062178 0.166907 0.449691